Golden Rules

1) Every bear market is followed by a bull.

2) Bear market is rarer than bulls.

3) To get a true bear market, there must be a negative fundamental event that will take the market by surprise.That is , not price in.

4) One must develop self-control, both to refrain from attempting to profit by the monthly fluctuations, which 95% of the people endeavor to follow, and to act quickly and take advantage of the major movements, which 95% of the people fail to profit by, either because they are infatuated with prosperity or scared by panic or depression.

5) One must develop patience, and remember that it takes years to build up a fortune in this way, and that is an especially slow process as first...

6) Market is about relative expectation, not absolute result.Look for reality that different with what market has priced in.


Friday, November 05, 2010

QE2

From Richard Russell:

“Right now, we’re seeing the results of a bubble in Fed-created liquidity. When the water continues to pour into a bath-tub, everything — the rubber ducks, the plastic boats, the soap bars — float up with the water line. This goes on until either the water flows over the tub and onto the floor — or mom comes in and pulls the plug. I think that’s what we’re experiencing now in the markets. Everything tradeable, stocks, bonds, gold, silver, commodities in general are rising. I call it an all-around mega-bubble. It will continue until someone, purposely, or by mistake, pulls the plug. There are only two items which seem immune to the surging liquidity. The two items are home prices and unemployment. But there’s another possibility. Build a tower out of children’s blocks. You can build that tower just so high, and at some point the last block is too much. The tower shudders, it tilts and falls over.”

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