My Current Investments

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3) AUDSGD (Link for AUD posts)
4) CNYSGD Closed TP 0.208 ( Link for CNYSGD posts)
5) Fullerton SGD Heritage Income Class B ( Link )
6) Global X Uranium ETF Long ( Link )
8) BGF China Bond Fund A6 Hedged (SGD) (Link)
7) US Stock Trade (Link)

Disclaimer :
None of the information contained in this Blog or Video constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investments, or to participate in any particular trading strategy.

Any expression of opinion (which may be subject to change without notice) is personal to the author and the author makes no guarantee of any sort regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information or analysis supplied.

The author is not responsible for any loss arising from any investment based on any perceived recommendation, forecast, or any other information contained here.

Next Market Crash Stocks Accumulate LIst

Next Market Crash Stocks Accumulate LIst

Intrinsive Value Tracking

Friday, June 01, 2007

Positive Expectancy Systems

If you have a positive expectancy trading system, the only factors that determine how much money you will make per year are the number of trades the system generates, how much capital you allocate to the system, and how accurately you implement the trading signals. If you do not know whether your trading system is positive expectancy then why are you trading it? Expectancy is calculated using the profit or loss on each trade (net of trading implementation
costs) divided by the initial risk (using your stop loss) and then taking the average of this number of a series of trades. Systems that have positive expectancy will make money on average and those with negative expectancy will lose money.

Successful traders only trade systems where the odds of success are in their favor (i.e. the system is positive expectancy) so they know that making money is the result of accurately implementing the system and not just pure luck.

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