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My Current Investments

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1) Gold (Link for Gold posts)

2) Silver (Link for Silver posts)

3) AUDSGD (Link for AUD posts)

4) CNYSGD Closed TP 0.208 ( Link for CNYSGD posts)

5) Fullerton SGD Heritage Income Class B ( Link )

6) Global X Uranium ETF Long ( Link )

8) BGF China Bond Fund A6 Hedged (SGD) (Link)

7) US Stock Trade (Link)

Disclaimer :

None of the information contained in this Blog or Video constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investments, or to participate in any particular trading strategy.

Any expression of opinion (which may be subject to change without notice) is personal to the author and the author makes no guarantee of any sort regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information or analysis supplied.

The author is not responsible for any loss arising from any investment based on any perceived recommendation, forecast, or any other information contained here.

Sunday, June 14, 2020

NZDUSD 4H TRADE CALL

AUDUSD 4H TRADE CALL

Is S&P 500 Over Price ?

Is S&P 500 Over Price ? Let do a Simple Analysis:

Following is a history of earning from NYU published the chart below on Jan 5, 2020. Please take note Y2019 actual earning is $139.4 and not $162.35 the forecast predicted

What happen in 2008 subprime crisis ? it drop from $82.54 to $42.51...33.9% !

This year most likely it will drop more than Y2008 33.9%, but let assume we just use 33.9% drop from Y2019 earning of $139.4 to estimate this year earning.

The projected this year earning will be $139.4 - ($139.47*33.9%) = $92.3

Refer to the S&P 500 PE Ratio - 90 Year Historical Chart,

Let use 14 PE to estimate the S&P 500 fair value.. 14*92.3 = 1292.

Today S&P 500 Price 3041

You can estimate S&P 500 next year earning and PE, and decide yourself at what price you think is value investing..

S&P 500 PE Ratio - 90 Year Historical Chart